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Supplements Subscription DTC · US · Shopify + Recharge · ~$4M ARR

From discount blasts to a retention engine.

0%0%
owned-revenue share, 9 months
+0%
subscriber 6-month LTV (Lifetimely cohorts)
0%
subscription churn after save-flow rebuild

The gap

Revenue looked healthy; the cohorts didn't. Subscribers churned hard at month 3, and the only "retention" running was a 20%-off blast every Friday — training customers to wait for discounts.

What we ran

  • AI cohort audit priced the month-3 churn cliff at $46k/mo
  • Churn-save flow: pause/swap offers before cancellation, not after
  • Post-purchase education series tied to the product's 90-day results window
  • Win-back at day 75, triggered by purchase-interval data, not a calendar
  • Retired the Friday blast; campaigns moved to a value-led calendar

The result

Email & SMS went from 18% to 43% of total revenue in 9 months — while total sends dropped 22%. Less noise, more money.

Owned revenue share — month 1 → 9 M1 · 18% M9 · 43% 43%
Klaviyo · Flow performance Last 90 days
Attributed revenue$412,806
% of total revenue43.2%
Recipients38,114
Churn Save — Pause or SwapFlow · SMS + Email$128,440
Post-Purchase — 90-Day ResultsFlow · Email$96,205
Win-Back — Day 75Flow · Email + SMS$71,388
Welcome — First OrderFlow · Email$58,911

“Kairos found six figures hiding in a win-back window we didn't know existed. The audit paid for the year in the first month.”

Founder — supplement brand

Your category could be case nine.

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